The forecast model is the
neural-dynamical hybrid coupled model with the
assimilation of the NCEP sea level height anomaly data (Tang and
Fig 1 shows our latest forecasts (initialized using data till the end of
indicating that warming in the equatorial Pacific during 2004 will develop into a
moderate El Niño by the fall and winter, then slowly decay in
Fig.1 Predicted SSTA of the tropical Pacific. Contour interval is 0.25 degree Celsius, with positive anomalies indicated by solid contours, negative anomalies by dashed contours, and zero by thick contours. Positive anomalies above 1 degree are shaded in red, and negative anomalies below -1 degree are in green. The zero contour is in purple.